Eliminating Nuclear Threats
A Practical Agenda for Global Policymakers
REPORT OF THE INTERNATIONAL COMMISSION ON NUCLEAR NON-PROLIFERATION AND DISARMAMENT
GARETH EVANS and YORIKO KAWAGUCHI CO-CHAIRS Commission Members
- Home
- Cover
- Contents
- Co-chairs’ Preface
- Synopsis: A Comprehensive Action Agenda
- Abbreviations
- PART I: SEIZING THE MOMENT
- PART II: ASSESSING NUCLEAR THREATS AND RISKS
- PART III: FORMULATING POLICY RESPONSES
- PART IV: FROM POLICY TO ACTION: A COMPREHENSIVE AGENDA
- Notes and Sources
- Annex A: Commission Recommendations
- Annex B: Members of the Commission
- Annex C: How the Commission Worked
- Index
- Boxes
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Synopsis: A Comprehensive Action Agenda
1. Why This Report, and Why Now
The Problem: A Global Threat Defying Complacency
PART II: ASSESSING NUCLEAR THREATS AND RISKS
2. The Risks from Existing Nuclear-Armed States
The Destructive Capabilities of Existing Weapons
Numbers and Classes of Existing Weapons
3. The Risks from New Nuclear-Armed States
4. The Threat of Nuclear Terrorism
Possible State and Non-State Actors
5. The Risks Associated with Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy
Likely Scale of the Civil Nuclear Energy Renaissance
Assessing the Proliferation Risks of Nuclear Energy Expansion
PART III: FORMULATING POLICY RESPONSES
6. Disarmament: Making Zero Thinkable
Delegitimizing Nuclear Weapons
Rethinking Other Justifications for Retaining Nuclear Weapons
7. Disarmament: A Two-Phase Strategy for Getting to Zero
8. Non-Proliferation: Constraining Demand and Supply
9. Strengthening the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
Improving Safeguards and Verification
10. Strengthening Non-Proliferation Disciplines Outside the NPT
Non-NPT Treaties and Mechanisms
Applying Equivalent Obligations to States now Outside the NPT
12. Limiting the Availability of Fissile Material
13. Sustaining an Effective Counter-Terrorism Strategy
Counter-Terrorism Strategy Generally
Securing Loose Weapons and Material
14. Responsible Nuclear Energy Management
Sharing the Benefits of Nuclear Energy
The Three Ss: Managing Safeguards, Security and Safety
15. Multilateralizing the Nuclear Fuel Cycle
The Argument for Multilateralization
PART IV: FROM POLICY TO ACTION: A COMPREHENSIVE AGENDA
16. A Package for the 2010 NPT Review Conference
The Importance of the Review Conference
Updating the “Thirteen Practical Steps” on Disarmament
17. Short Term Action Agenda: To 2012 – Achieving Initial Benchmarks
Defining Short Term Objectives
Reducing Weapon Numbers: U.S. and Russian Leadership
Multilateral Disarmament: Preparing the Ground
Nuclear Doctrine: Beginning to Limit the Role of Nuclear Weapons
18. Medium Term Action Agenda: To 2025 – Getting to the Minimization Point
Defining Medium Term Objectives
Parallel Security Issues: Missiles, Space, Biological and Conventional Weapons
Nuclear Doctrine and Force Postures: Consolidating Change
Other Elements in the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Agenda 200
19. Longer Term Action Agenda: Beyond 2025 – Getting to Zero
Defining “Zero”: The Nature of the Task
General Conditions for Moving from Minimization to Elimination
20. Mobilizing and Sustaining Political Will
The Elements of Political Will: Leadership, Knowledge, Strategy and Process
Annex A: Commission Recommendations
Annex B: Members of the Commission
Annex C: How the Commission Worked
Boxes
2-1 Impact of Strategic Nuclear Bombs on London and Mumbai
3-1 Key Elements of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
4-1 Basic Nuclear Weapon Designs: "Gun" and "Implosion"
4-2 Impact of Terrorist Nuclear Explosions in London and Mumbai
5-1 Reactors Planned, Proposed and Under Construction 2009
5-2 The Nuclear Fuel Cycle: Basic Terminology Non-Specialists Need to Know
7-1 The Comprehensive Action Agenda: Timelines
10-1 Major Non-Proliferation Measures Complementing the NPT
13-1 Priority Issues for the 2010 Nuclear Security Summit
16-1 “A New International Consensus on Action for Nuclear Disarmament”
16-2 Nuclear Weapon Free Zones
17-1 The Short Term Action Agenda – To 2012
